La Calzada vs Anguiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
CDF
37%
26%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
CDF
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 0
CDF
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 0
ALB
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ANG
5 - 2
PRA
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 5
ANG
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ANG
3 - 0
CIU
84%
12%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
ANG
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
VIA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |