CDF Benfica vs Alfândega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 7
LUL
31%
20%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BFC
4 - 1
LAI
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
BFC
1 - 6
GDA
49%
20%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
ALF
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
BFC
54%
20%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
ATL
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 7
LUL
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 1
LAI
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
ALF
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 2
GDA
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |