CDE Valmes vs Orusco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Valmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 2
VAL
57%
19%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 5
PEN
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
VAL
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
6 - 2
TFU
50%
21%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
UDP
17%
18%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ORU
2 - 1
RVM
40%
21%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
EST
1 - 6
ORU
17%
17%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORU
1 - 3
PAR
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ORU
4 - 0
BOC
58%
19%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
ORU
16%
18%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |