ESC Madrid vs Rayo Brunete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
12.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
58.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1.2%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESC Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ESC
3 - 1
SNA
66%
17%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SJZ
1 - 3
ESC
21%
18%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 4
AUP
24%
20%
57%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NUE
7 - 0
ESC
68%
16%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 3
ROL
68%
16%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Brunete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NDR
2 - 7
RBR
19%
18%
64%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RBR
3 - 1
INT
70%
15%
15%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
RBR
2 - 1
ESC
47%
20%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VDP
0 - 5
RBR
8%
11%
82%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RBR
2 - 1
CFC
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |