CDC Comercial vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDC Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROZ
0 - 4
COM
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
EFC
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOB
0 - 1
COM
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
TVA
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NVL
2 - 1
COM
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 4
RBR
27%
22%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
IBT
1 - 1
UCA
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 2
LUL
17%
20%
63%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VDO
3 - 3
UCA
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ROZ
2 - 0
UCA
72%
16%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |