Valdepeñas vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CDB
63%
24%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
CDB
0 - 1
ALB
46%
29%
25%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
CDB
2 - 1
PLA
60%
25%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
ARG
2 - 0
CDB
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDT
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
GUA
2 - 0
TCF
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
TCF
2 - 2
ZAM
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALB
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
PLA
1 - 1
TCF
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TCF
4 - 0
ARG
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |