México FC C vs Comandante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+136%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 4
MEX
49%
21%
31%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 1
ATA
23%
19%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
MEX
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 0
PEN
44%
20%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DAG
3 - 2
MEX
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Comandante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDI
2 - 3
COM
29%
20%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
NAY
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 3
COM
19%
18%
63%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 6
COM
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COM
6 - 3
ATA
43%
21%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |