Cornellana vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+167%
+866%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cornellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MCU
1 - 0
CRN
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CRN
5 - 1
HIS
43%
21%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TAP
0 - 0
CRN
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AVI
3 - 3
CRN
66%
18%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CRN
6 - 0
CDP
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 3
TRE
9%
17%
75%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LCM
3 - 2
CAS
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOS
22%
22%
56%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
RAI
38%
23%
39%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LRN
5 - 2
CAS
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |