X Aranga vs Ponte Carreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SXU
0 - 6
ARA
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 0
EST
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RDS
2 - 3
ARA
11%
15%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
MAR
93%
6%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARA
7 - 1
CAR
81%
11%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Carreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PCA
0 - 2
VIS
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAR
9 - 0
PCA
60%
19%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PCA
0 - 2
CUR
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SDV
2 - 4
PCA
45%
23%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PCA
3 - 3
VOR
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |