X Aranga vs Mesia CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SXU
1 - 2
ARA
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 0
SDV
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 1
ARA
46%
21%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 1
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 2
PER
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mesia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MES
3 - 4
PER
21%
20%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
MES
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MES
0 - 1
VIS
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VOR
3 - 0
MES
42%
24%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MES
2 - 1
PCA
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |