Tercera División RFEF IV - Basque Country Round 30

CD Vitoria vs Beasain KE analysis

CD Vitoria Beasain KE
51 ELO 43
-11.4% Tilt -20.9%
21863º General ELO ranking 5525º
6858º Country ELO ranking 200º
ELO win probability
62.3%
CD Vitoria
22.3%
Draw
15.4%
Beasain KE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
CD Vitoria
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
Beasain KE
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

CD Vitoria
Their league position
Beasain KE
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
12º
64
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Vitoria
82
82
100%
CD Basconia
64
64
0%
Beasain KE
64
64
0%
Portugalete
60
60
100%
Deusto
59
59
100%
CD Lagun Onak
55
55
100%
SCD Durango
50
50
100%
San Ignacio
47
47
100%
Leioa
45
45
100%
Urduliz FT
10º
45
45
10º
100%
CD Derio
12º
40
40
11º
0%
Deportivo Alavés C
11º
40
40
12º
0%
CD Touring
14º
39
39
13º
0%
CD Padura
13º
39
39
14º
0%
Pasaia KE
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Anaitasuna FT
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Aurrera KE
17º
21
21
17º
100%
Añorga
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Vitoria
Beasain KE
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Vitoria
Beasain KE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Vitoria
CD Vitoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
POR
Portugalete
0 - 0
CD Vitoria
CDV
18%
27%
55%
51 40 11 0
05 Apr. 2024
CDV
CD Vitoria
2 - 0
CD Derio
CDD
78%
16%
6%
51 31 20 0
27 Mar. 2024
AFT
Anaitasuna FT
0 - 2
CD Vitoria
CDV
11%
24%
65%
51 29 22 0
23 Mar. 2024
CDV
CD Vitoria
3 - 1
Aurrera KE
AUR
80%
14%
5%
50 25 25 +1
17 Mar. 2024
BAS
CD Basconia
0 - 0
CD Vitoria
CDV
28%
27%
46%
50 40 10 0

Matches

Beasain KE
Beasain KE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
BEA
Beasain KE
1 - 0
Pasaia KE
PAS
81%
13%
6%
44 26 18 0
06 Apr. 2024
CDP
CD Padura
3 - 1
Beasain KE
BEA
13%
23%
64%
46 28 18 -2
28 Mar. 2024
BEA
Beasain KE
1 - 1
CD Touring
CDT
77%
14%
8%
46 29 17 0
23 Mar. 2024
SAN
San Ignacio
1 - 1
Beasain KE
BEA
20%
26%
54%
46 30 16 0
16 Mar. 2024
URD
Urduliz FT
0 - 2
Beasain KE
BEA
17%
27%
57%
45 31 14 +1