CD Villanueva vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VVA
4 - 1
SCF
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 0
VVA
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
DHE
6 - 1
VVA
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VVA
2 - 1
SFE
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CCF
1 - 0
VVA
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MON
1 - 2
COR
33%
28%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SCF
2 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CRD
2 - 3
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
ANT
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |