Villada vs Carrion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
JOP
4 - 4
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 4
VIL
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAS
87%
9%
5%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
5 - 3
MON
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
6 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
UDB
1 - 3
CAR
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GRI
1 - 2
CAR
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
5 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
6 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |