CD Union vs Malpica SDC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 4
UNI
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 4
UNI
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
LCL
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PIL
2 - 2
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
OUT
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Malpica SDC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 3
BAY
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LCL
1 - 2
MAL
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 1
PIL
46%
24%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 0
MAL
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAR
28%
22%
49%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |