UD Serranillos vs Arevalo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
36%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Serranillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 2
SER
20%
18%
62%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
SER
27%
21%
53%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
PEB
71%
15%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 2
SER
13%
16%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SER
4 - 3
ARE
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arevalo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARE
4 - 2
FCN
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TIE
3 - 3
ARE
50%
20%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARE
3 - 0
ARE
81%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PIE
1 - 2
ARE
76%
13%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
NAV
36%
21%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |