Tercera RFEF IX - Andalucía y Melilla. Jor. 23

CD Torreperogil vs Real Jaén analysis

CD Torreperogil Real Jaén
30 ELO 37
-31.5% Tilt -20.3%
7389º General ELO ranking 5326º
279º Country ELO ranking 176º
ELO win probability
28.7%
CD Torreperogil
28.2%
Draw
43.1%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
CD Torreperogil
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.1%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Torreperogil
-11%
+2%
Real Jaén

Points and table prediction

CD Torreperogil
Their league position
Real Jaén
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
14º
11º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marbella FC
72
72
100%
Real Jaén
68
68
100%
El Palo FC
63
63
100%
UD Torre Del Mar
55
55
100%
At. Malagueño
45
45
0%
Huétor Vega
45
45
0%
Almería B
41
41
100%
UDC Torredonjimeno
41
41
0%
CF Motril
41
41
0%
Arenas de Armilla
10º
39
39
10º
100%
CD Torreperogil
11º
38
38
11º
100%
CD Huétor Tájar
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Maracena
13º
33
33
13º
100%
FC Málaga City
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Atletico Porcuna
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Huracán Melilla
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Torreperogil
Real Jaén
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Torreperogil
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Torreperogil
CD Torreperogil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
HUE
CD Huétor Tájar
2 - 1
CD Torreperogil
CDT
54%
23%
24%
31 32 1 0
11 Feb. 2023
CDT
CD Torreperogil
6 - 0
CD Huracán Melilla
CHM
79%
15%
6%
31 9 22 0
05 Feb. 2023
ALM
Almería B
0 - 0
CD Torreperogil
CDT
54%
23%
23%
31 32 1 0
29 Jan. 2023
CDT
CD Torreperogil
0 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
31%
27%
42%
30 32 2 +1
22 Jan. 2023
ARE
Arenas de Armilla
1 - 0
CD Torreperogil
CDT
27%
25%
48%
32 22 10 -2

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
UDC Torredonjimeno
TOR
69%
17%
14%
37 28 9 0
12 Feb. 2023
HUE
Huétor Vega
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
39%
26%
35%
36 30 6 +1
05 Feb. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
7 - 1
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
80%
14%
7%
35 21 14 +1
29 Jan. 2023
MAR
Maracena
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
21%
25%
54%
36 21 15 -1
22 Jan. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
El Palo FC
PAL
64%
20%
16%
35 32 3 +1
X