CD Toledo vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
LEG
3 - 1
CDT
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
CDT
3 - 1
ARA
61%
18%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
RAY
4 - 1
CDT
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
CDT
2 - 3
PUL
45%
22%
34%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
GUA
5 - 3
CDT
68%
17%
16%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
UDG
7 - 0
UBC
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
UDG
2 - 1
CDS
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LEG
3 - 2
UDG
85%
9%
6%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
UDG
3 - 2
ARA
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
RAY
6 - 1
UDG
71%
17%
13%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |