CD Toledo vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
TOM
1 - 1
CDT
17%
27%
56%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CDT
2 - 1
UBC
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
PON
1 - 0
CDT
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 0
RUN
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
CDT
33%
30%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 0
TAL
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CUL
1 - 1
ZAR
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 2
MIR
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ZAR
2 - 1
GER
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NOJ
0 - 0
ZAR
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |