Segunda B Play-Offs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
CD Toledo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 2
CDT
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 0
MUR
23%
25%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDT
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CDT
3 - 1
GET
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
TUD
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
TUD
0 - 1
HER
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LLO
0 - 2
HER
19%
28%
53%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
OLO
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HOS
0 - 4
HER
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |