CD Toledo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
GET
3 - 1
CDT
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDM
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CDT
5 - 0
PPJ
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
CLH
0 - 2
CDT
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 2
CDT
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
HER
2 - 0
LAN
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
VEC
0 - 1
HER
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
HER
0 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
ATB
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |