CD Toledo vs G. Alcazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UBC
1 - 0
CDT
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CDT
1 - 1
HEL
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
MIG
2 - 1
CDT
22%
25%
54%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CDT
2 - 1
MAN
68%
21%
10%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDT
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
G. Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GAL
2 - 1
HEL
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 0
GAL
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
GAL
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TOM
0 - 0
GAL
50%
26%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
GAL
1 - 2
TAR
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |