Tercera Division G14 Round 20

CD Toledo vs CD Guadalajara analysis

CD Toledo CD Guadalajara
37 ELO 28
3% Tilt 0.3%
ELO win probability
82.6%
CD Toledo
10.9%
Draw
6.5%
CD Guadalajara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
CD Toledo
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.5%
Win probability
CD Guadalajara
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Toledo
+24%
+120%
CD Guadalajara

ELO progression

CD Toledo
CD Guadalajara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Toledo
CD Toledo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 1961
VIL
SAD Villaverde
2 - 0
CD Toledo
CDT
41%
23%
36%
38 29 9 0
08 Jan. 1961
CDT
CD Toledo
3 - 1
CD Don Benito
DBN
82%
11%
7%
38 30 8 0
01 Jan. 1961
CDT
CD Toledo
1 - 1
CD Badajoz
CDB
50%
22%
28%
37 47 10 +1
25 Dec. 1960
GDE
Getafe Deportivo
1 - 1
CD Toledo
CDT
55%
22%
23%
37 36 1 0
18 Dec. 1960
CDT
CD Toledo
6 - 1
Puertollano
PUE
51%
23%
27%
34 44 10 +3

Matches

CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 1961
GUA
CD Guadalajara
0 - 2
CP Villarrobledo
VIL
38%
24%
38%
30 45 15 0
08 Jan. 1961
MER
Mérida CP
2 - 2
CD Guadalajara
GUA
71%
17%
13%
30 33 3 0
01 Jan. 1961
GIM
Gimnástico de Alcázar
1 - 2
CD Guadalajara
GUA
76%
14%
10%
29 35 6 +1
25 Dec. 1960
GUA
CD Guadalajara
1 - 0
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
46%
23%
31%
27 36 9 +2
18 Dec. 1960
MAN
CD Manchego
1 - 0
CD Guadalajara
GUA
85%
10%
5%
28 39 11 -1