Thader vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
THD
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
THD
5 - 0
ASP
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
THD
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
THD
2 - 0
BFL
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
RAV
2 - 3
THD
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NUD
1 - 4
NOV
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
NUD
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NUD
1 - 1
RAY
14%
19%
68%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
NUD
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
CRE
16%
22%
63%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |