Thader vs Univ. Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ASP
1 - 1
THD
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
THD
1 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BFL
1 - 1
THD
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
THD
4 - 2
RAV
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
THD
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
NOV
12%
21%
67%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
RAY
11%
19%
69%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 0
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
CRE
19%
26%
55%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |