Thader vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SFF
0 - 0
THD
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
THD
2 - 1
VIL
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
THD
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
THD
1 - 0
ELD
26%
23%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
THD
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 1
BEN
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
CDC
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
3 - 0
PET
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RAF
0 - 1
CDC
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
UNI
40%
23%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |