Sierra de la Mujer Muerta vs IE University Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
37.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra de la Mujer Muerta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NOL
0 - 1
SMM
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAT
5 - 0
SMM
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SMM
4 - 0
PRA
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SMM
4 - 1
BER
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CLA
0 - 1
SMM
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
IE University Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
MAT
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
7 - 2
BER
93%
5%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 6
VAL
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
LAS
77%
13%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 1
RSC
89%
7%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |