La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 1
DLS
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
DLS
3 - 0
PUE
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
DLS
2 - 1
SWA
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ANT
4 - 1
DLS
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
DLS
2 - 1
CDM
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 2
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
OHI
4 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |