La Serena vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EVE
4 - 0
DLS
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
DLS
0 - 1
HUA
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CSL
1 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DLS
3 - 0
NUB
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COQ
2 - 0
DLS
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
UCH
0 - 3
UCO
24%
25%
50%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
ACS
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 2
UCO
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 2
OHI
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |