La Serena vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
DLS
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 3
UCH
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 0
DLS
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
DLS
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 6
COL
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
OHI
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
OHI
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 0
ANT
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OHI
4 - 4
HUA
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 0
OHI
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |