La Serena vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 1
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DLS
5 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 2
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 2
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 2
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
CDM
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 1
UCO
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |