Santa Bárbara 2014 vs Recr. Paterna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Bárbara 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COR
7 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
CDH
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
NER
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recr. Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
ROS
62%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALO
1 - 3
REC
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
REC
3 - 1
MAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 2
REC
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
REC
0 - 0
CDZ
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |