San Lorenzo vs P. Farnals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
62.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
JUP
2 - 0
LOR
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
QUA
2 - 1
LOR
75%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 4
ATL
36%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FOI
4 - 0
LOR
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
BEN
35%
19%
46%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
P. Farnals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
POB
4 - 3
TAV
79%
12%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 0
POB
36%
21%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
POB
1 - 0
QUA
49%
20%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POB
1 - 4
CAB
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FOI
1 - 6
POB
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |