CD San Fernando vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
SFN
46%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RMC
0 - 0
SFN
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SFN
0 - 1
ADP
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CDM
3 - 0
SFN
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
SIE
73%
19%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MEX
4 - 3
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAJ
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PNT
0 - 1
ALC
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
TRJ
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |