CD San Agustin vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
VIC
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UVA
5 - 2
AGU
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 4
PED
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 3
AGU
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
CDV
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 0
UVA
10%
15%
74%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PED
5 - 2
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 4
UNI
20%
20%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
ARC
68%
18%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
UDS
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |