Rueda vs A. Peñafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CEC
0 - 2
RUE
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RUE
4 - 2
PED
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CIS
1 - 3
RUE
59%
19%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 1
RUE
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RUE
5 - 0
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
RAC
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATL
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
MED
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
VIC
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |