Real de Minas vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RES
2 - 0
RDM
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
JUT
3 - 3
RDM
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 2
MOT
10%
26%
65%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PLA
3 - 1
RDM
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOT
6 - 1
RDM
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
2 - 0
VID
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 4
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MOT
4 - 0
HNP
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HNP
2 - 3
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |