Quintana vs Norma San Leonardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIQ
3 - 1
QUI
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
GOL
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
QUI
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Norma San Leonardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
CDC
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOR
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PIQ
1 - 2
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
EST
30%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 2
NOR
31%
21%
47%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |