CD Provincial Osorno vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
CDP
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CDP
2 - 1
CSD
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NUB
2 - 0
CDP
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
HUA
0 - 2
CDP
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CDP
0 - 3
COL
28%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 3
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |