Segunda . Jor. 23

CD Provincial Osorno vs CD Melipilla analysis

CD Provincial Osorno CD Melipilla
46 ELO 53
-17% Tilt -9.4%
3856º General ELO ranking 2545º
42º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
22%
CD Provincial Osorno
25.7%
Draw
52.3%
CD Melipilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
CD Provincial Osorno
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.3%
Win probability
CD Melipilla
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Provincial Osorno
+16%
+38%
CD Melipilla

Points and table prediction

CD Provincial Osorno
Their league position
CD Melipilla
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportes Limache
61
61
100%
CD Melipilla
47
47
100%
Fernández Vial
40
40
0%
San Antonio Unido
40
40
0%
Lautaro de Buin
37
37
100%
CD Provincial Osorno
34
34
100%
Trasandino
34
34
100%
CDSC Iberia
14º
22
32
0%
Real San Joaquín
10º
29
32
0%
Concepción
31
31
10º
100%
Deportes Valdivia
11º
27
30
11º
100%
General Velásquez
29
29
12º
100%
Linares Unido
12º
25
25
13º
100%
Deportes Rengo
13º
24
24
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Provincial Osorno
CD Melipilla
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Provincial Osorno
CD Melipilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Provincial Osorno
CD Provincial Osorno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2023
GVE
General Velásquez
2 - 0
CD Provincial Osorno
CDP
52%
25%
23%
46 49 3 0
02 Sep. 2023
CDP
CD Provincial Osorno
0 - 2
CDSC Iberia
IBE
43%
27%
31%
47 47 0 -1
26 Aug. 2023
JOA
Real San Joaquín
0 - 2
CD Provincial Osorno
CDP
52%
23%
25%
46 45 1 +1
12 Aug. 2023
CDP
CD Provincial Osorno
1 - 0
Deportes Rengo
REN
32%
26%
42%
44 47 3 +2
06 Aug. 2023
CON
Concepción
2 - 1
CD Provincial Osorno
CDP
35%
27%
38%
45 42 3 -1

Matches

CD Melipilla
CD Melipilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2023
IBE
CDSC Iberia
2 - 3
CD Melipilla
CDM
36%
26%
38%
53 49 4 0
08 Sep. 2023
CDM
CD Melipilla
1 - 0
Lautaro de Buin
LAU
48%
26%
27%
52 48 4 +1
03 Sep. 2023
CDM
CD Melipilla
2 - 0
Linares Unido
DLI
64%
22%
14%
51 44 7 +1
12 Aug. 2023
JOA
Real San Joaquín
0 - 1
CD Melipilla
CDM
38%
25%
37%
51 46 5 0
05 Aug. 2023
CDM
CD Melipilla
3 - 1
San Antonio Unido
SAU
40%
27%
33%
49 50 1 +2
X