Polop vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 1
POL
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CFB
1 - 1
POL
34%
24%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
BEN
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
XER
1 - 0
POL
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
POL
3 - 1
OLI
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PEG
1 - 0
OLI
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
PEG
1 - 3
GOR
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PEG
3 - 0
XER
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
PEG
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
PEG
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |