CD Polillas Ceuta Sub 19 vs Recreativo Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
63.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
18º
17º
33
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
82 | 82 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
76.5% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Polillas Ceuta Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 1
CDC
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 1
MAL
8%
14%
79%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDC
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
CFR
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UDM
5 - 1
CDC
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RCR
0 - 0
BET
9%
17%
75%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CD2
2 - 1
RCR
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
RCR
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RCR
0 - 2
MAL
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
RCR
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |