Once Piratas vs Santa Úrsula B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Piratas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ATE
2 - 2
OPI
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
OPI
1 - 4
ICO
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PCR
3 - 1
OPI
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
OPI
1 - 6
SSJ
14%
17%
69%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 1
OPI
44%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Úrsula B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SUR
5 - 6
ANC
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
3 - 0
SUR
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SUR
3 - 1
HID
84%
10%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
SUR
8%
14%
79%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ATE
1 - 5
SUR
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |