Oliva 2023 vs Hernando De Soto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliva 2023
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ACE
4 - 0
OLV
48%
22%
30%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OLV
0 - 8
UDF
44%
22%
34%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EME
7 - 0
OLV
87%
9%
5%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLV
1 - 4
CDB
24%
20%
56%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
9 - 0
OLV
45%
22%
33%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 2
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
CDB
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BIE
0 - 0
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
HER
30%
21%
48%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HER
4 - 0
ACE
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |