CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
CD Olimpia vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
VID
0 - 0
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
RAY
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 1
OLI
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CSC
1 - 2
SAP
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 0
PFC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PER
2 - 3
SAP
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 3
LFC
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |