CD Mungia vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mungia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
SNT
0 - 2
CDM
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CDM
3 - 1
SDE
48%
27%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ZAL
1 - 1
CDM
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
CDM
1 - 0
HER
26%
28%
46%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
TOL
1 - 0
CDM
42%
28%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
ATX
1 - 0
AUR
37%
30%
33%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
GAL
1 - 2
ATX
52%
25%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ATX
0 - 4
ALA
17%
28%
54%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
ATX
0 - 1
RUN
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
SNT
0 - 0
ATX
70%
20%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |