FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 2
MOT
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
VID
3 - 1
MOT
15%
25%
60%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
RSO
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 3
MOT
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
MAR
23%
25%
51%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 2
HNP
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
HNP
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |