Clausura Honduras Round 4

FC Motagua vs CD Choloma analysis

FC Motagua CD Choloma
66 ELO 64
-7.3% Tilt -5.2%
1243º General ELO ranking 2134º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.1%
FC Motagua
26.9%
Draw
26%
CD Choloma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
FC Motagua
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26%
Win probability
CD Choloma
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Motagua
+19%
-11%
CD Choloma

ELO progression

FC Motagua
CD Choloma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Motagua
FC Motagua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2012
RES
Real España
1 - 1
FC Motagua
MOT
60%
24%
17%
65 71 6 0
15 Jan. 2012
MOT
FC Motagua
1 - 1
Platense FC
PLA
58%
24%
18%
66 59 7 -1
08 Jan. 2012
RAY
Club Necaxa
2 - 2
FC Motagua
MOT
43%
28%
29%
66 64 2 0
20 Nov. 2011
DSA
Deportes Savio
0 - 3
FC Motagua
MOT
39%
28%
33%
65 61 4 +1
13 Nov. 2011
MOT
FC Motagua
3 - 0
CD Victoria
VIC
53%
25%
22%
64 60 4 +1

Matches

CD Choloma
CD Choloma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2012
PLA
Platense FC
0 - 2
CD Choloma
CHO
39%
28%
34%
64 59 5 0
15 Jan. 2012
CHO
CD Choloma
1 - 1
Real España
RES
37%
28%
35%
64 71 7 0
08 Jan. 2012
CHO
CD Choloma
2 - 1
CD Victoria
VIC
55%
24%
21%
64 59 5 0
20 Nov. 2011
CHO
CD Choloma
1 - 1
CDyS Vida
VID
49%
27%
24%
64 65 1 0
13 Nov. 2011
MAR
CD Marathón
1 - 1
CD Choloma
CHO
65%
21%
14%
63 71 8 +1