CONCACAF League Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 4-1
FC Motagua vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
VID
1 - 0
MOT
12%
23%
65%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
PLA
2 - 3
MOT
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 2
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
JOC
87%
11%
3%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
ONC
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |