Copa Federación - Fase Autonómica Com. de Madrid - Fase de Grupos Round 3

CD Móstoles vs AD Torrejón CF analysis

CD Móstoles AD Torrejón CF
48 ELO 39
-7.1% Tilt -9%
6215º General ELO ranking 7814º
241º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
56.7%
CD Móstoles
22.6%
Draw
20.7%
AD Torrejón CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
CD Móstoles
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
AD Torrejón CF
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Móstoles
+53%
+14%
AD Torrejón CF

ELO progression

CD Móstoles
AD Torrejón CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Móstoles
CD Móstoles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2025
ADP
AD Parla
0 - 1
CD Móstoles
CDM
15%
21%
64%
48 34 14 0
13 Aug. 2025
CDM
CD Móstoles
0 - 0
SAD Villaverde
VIL
61%
22%
18%
48 40 8 0
04 May. 2025
TAL
CF Talavera
1 - 0
CD Móstoles
CDM
61%
23%
16%
48 59 11 0
27 Apr. 2025
CDM
CD Móstoles
4 - 2
CD Guadalajara
GUA
15%
24%
61%
46 64 18 +2
19 Apr. 2025
MEL
UD Melilla
3 - 2
CD Móstoles
CDM
56%
25%
19%
47 54 7 -1

Matches

AD Torrejón CF
AD Torrejón CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2025
VIL
SAD Villaverde
0 - 0
AD Torrejón CF
TRJ
39%
25%
36%
39 41 2 0
13 Aug. 2025
TRJ
AD Torrejón CF
1 - 1
AD Parla
ADP
46%
26%
29%
39 33 6 0
08 Jun. 2025
RVB
Rayo Vallecano B
3 - 2
AD Torrejón CF
TRJ
49%
22%
29%
40 41 1 -1
01 Jun. 2025
TRJ
AD Torrejón CF
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano B
RVB
29%
25%
46%
40 41 1 0
25 May. 2025
TRJ
AD Torrejón CF
0 - 0
SAD Villaverde
VIL
37%
27%
37%
40 40 0 0