CD Móstoles vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.7%
78.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
13%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
COR
3 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
ILL
22%
27%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 0
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
MAJ
12%
22%
66%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 0
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 1
RCF
44%
29%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
MIR
49%
28%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |